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Russia bans diesel exports as fuel crisis deepens
Ukrainian strikes on refineries have led to the worst fuel shortages since the fall of the Soviet Union.
Mexico makes first LNG shipment to Asia
Confidence in traditional export avenues is waning, with much of the global oil and gas trade until recently coming from Russia or the Strait of Hormuz.
Self-Care for Sociopaths
Oil prices jump and stocks slide over renewed US-Iran strikes
The renewed conflict has once again brought traffic through the Strait of Hormuz to a halt.
Graham Platner Was a Train Wreckâbut Playing It Safe Is Not the Answer
The Graham Platner campaign has collapsed in spectacular fashion, with the upstart candidate suspending his run for Maine senator in a video he released Wednesday night. A woman Platner had dated accusing him of sexual assault effectively ended a candidacy that had a lot of warning signs, from his controversial Nazi tattoo to prior reports alleging mistreatment of women. I and many others were too enthusiastic about Platnerâs potential. But while Democrats rightly abandoned Platner after the womanâs allegations emerged, they shouldnât abandon what Platner represented: an attempt to find candidates and messages that appeal outside of the partyâs core voting base. Such experimentation and innovation is vital, because as the 2016 and 2024 elections showed, there just arenât enough stalwart Democratic voters to defeat MAGA on their own. The initial enthusiasm about Platner came from three parts of the Democratic Party coalition. Most importantly, Maine liberals crowded his events, excited by both his personal story and populist politics, and eventually overwhelmingly backed him in last monthâs Senate primary. Outside of Maine, leftists such as journalist Ryan Grim and Senator Bernie Sanders got behind Platner as the man who could defeat the party establishmentâs more centrist choice, Governor Janet Mills. There was a third group of people on the left and center-left, perhaps best exemplified by the hosts of Pod Save America, who perhaps thought that Platner could appeal to voters who donât traditionally back Democrats and not only finally defeat Susan Collins but offer clues about how the party could win such voters across the country. I had a foot in both the second and third camps. The electoral aspect was an important part of the fanfare around Platner. The backlash to President Trump alone may be enough for the Democrats to win control of the House, Senate, and presidency over the next two elections. But even under that optimistic scenario, todayâs radical, antidemocracy Republican Party would control about half the states, including almost the entire South, and have a strong chance of regaining power in Washington in 2030 and 2032. And the Republicans will be in a strong position as long as they keep winning the white (57 percent for Trump in 2024), male (57 percent), white noncollege (63 percent), and rural (69) votes nationally, particularly since many independent voters and younger people either keep backing the GOP or donât vote at all. So a white male veteran gun owner running in a very rural swing state was destined to get outsize attention from Democrats. This electoral aspect of Platnerâs candidacy is trickyâand a bit ickyâto discuss. A party like the Democrats that does better with urban voters than rural voters, women compared to men, Black people compared to white people, and college graduates compared to nonâcollege graduates isnât doing anything morally wrong. In fact, considering the history of America, the party that is more popular with women and Black people is no doubt on the right side of most moral questions. But to win elections, it would help Democrats to woo more men, rural voters, white people without degrees, and white people overall, particularly since the Electoral College and the Senate give disproportionate power to the latter three groups. So while no one who backed Platner admitted this openly, itâs unlikely they would have as enthusiastically supported a Black or female candidate in Maine with no political experience, an incendiary tattoo, and crazy social media posts. Platner was benefiting from affirmative action for gruff-looking white men, with political elites supporting Platner in part on the theory that he could reach other men like himself. It was irritating to see Platner portrayed as a candidate for the working class, since his background was fairly privileged and the voters that he would ideally reach were much better described by their gender (male) and geography (rural) than their income or working conditions. But I was more annoyed by the coded conversation than the reality it masked: There are probably some voters in Maine and other states who will back a white man like Platner but not Democratic candidates of other demographics. I donât love elevating gruff white guys as an electoral strategy. But itâs in some ways preferable to the Democratic establishmentâs favorite tactic: constantly moving to the right to appeal to a mythical constituency of anti-Trump Republicans. Following the center-left playbook, Kamala Harris spent the latter part of her 2024 campaign abandoning populist economic policies, promising to ensure that Americaâs military remained the worldâs âmost lethal,â and touting her support for more Border Patrol officers. That approach not only moves the party in a worse direction on policy, but rarely wins over many non-Democratic voters. Many of the Democrats running in 2026 backed anti-immigrant measures last year, although they have shifted left as Trump has become more unpopular. There are two alternative approaches that hold promise. First, some Democrats rely on parts of their biography to woo voters who arenât traditional liberals. Georgia Senator Raphael Warnock leans into his Christianity and pastoral role. For Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear, itâs faith and a nerdy dad vibe. Michigan Senator Elissa Slotkin, Virginia Governor Abigail Spanberger, and New Jersey Governor Mikie Sherrill all won swing House districts and then statewide office by emphasizing their service in national security jobs. Second, a growing number of Democrats, such as Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff and Michigan Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed, are running as anti-system, anti-corruption figures. They emphasize their opposition not to Republicans but to big corporations.The virtue of these two approaches is that they donât require Democratic candidates to be Republican-lite on policy as Harris was on some issues in 2024. And the anti-corruption message allows candidates to tap into the anti-Washington, anti-institution sentiment that pervades the country. In 2024, Harris was constantly highlighting how much support she had from Republican politicians like Liz Cheney. But being well liked by fellow politicians, even from the other party, isnât that useful in appealing to voters who hate everyone in Washington. Two of the most surprising victors in the post-Obama political era, Trump and New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani, both won over swing voters and inspired people to vote who often sit out elections by running against the establishments in both parties. Platner was using both of these approaches. He was bashing elites in Washington and calling for limits on corporate and billionaire spending in politics, like other populist candidates across the country. At the same time, his candidacy was very much about his own unique biography: small-town veteran and oysterman who had never previously run for office. Would this have worked in November? As my colleague Greg Sargent wrote before the sexual assault report, Platner was far behind Collins among voters without college degrees. Perhaps his message and bio werenât selling. Alternatively, all of the swirl around his past made voters wary, no matter what he said on the campaign trail. Weâll never know how a general election between Collins and an untainted Platner would have gone. And we donât know how El-Sayed, Ossoff, or others running on the anti-corruption, anti-system agenda will do this November. But we do know how the 2016 and 2024 elections went. The Democrats, for the presidency and key congressional races, ran traditional candidates with centrist policy platformsâand they lost. That doesnât mean Democrats will automatically win if they run pastors, oyster farmers, or anti-corruption warriors. What those elections tell us is that there isnât yet a clear formula for beating the MAGA right. Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer shouldnât be so confident he knows which candidates are best. Nor should Morris Katz, the strategist who helped steer Mamdani to victory but also helped create the debacle that was Platnerâs campaign. Platner wasnât the right candidate. But neither were Hillary Clinton or Harris. The Democratic Party shouldnât only look for white men with unusual jobs to run for office. But it should look for candidates who get voters to give Democrats a second lookâeven if those candidates are white men with unusual jobs.
Trumpâs Smithsonian Critique Is Pathetically Weak
On Wednesday, I discussed how the White House Domestic Policy Councilâs âSaving Americaâs Storyâ report makes a number of false claims about whatâs missing from the National Museum of American History. Today, I want to discuss what the report finds objectionable thatâs actually thereâstarting with the person who oversees it all. Surprisingly little of the report, which was released July 4, finds fault with what a visitor will encounter when visiting NMAH today. A huge chunk of it is devoted to the character assassination of Anthea Hartig, the museumâs director since 2019. The word âHartigâ appears 229 times, compared to 81 mentions for âvisitor,â 73 mentions for âUnited States,â 61 mentions for âNational Museum of American History,â 49 mentions for âfounder,â 49 mentions for âpresident,â 38 mentions for ârace,â 31 mentions for âCongress,â 18 mentions for âideology,â seven mentions for âbias,â five mentions for âethnic,â and six mentions for âpatriotism.â Firing Hartig is clearly Job One for this report. The Domestic Policy Council condemns Hartig for everything from identifying her pronouns as âshe/her/hersâ to saying she would like to âproblematizeâ the semiquincentennial. As Philip Kennicott notes in an excellent essay about all this for The Washington Post, âProblematizing is the essence of historical thinking.âI canât defend Hartigâs public comments against 229 petty complaints because that wonât leave time for anything else, and anyway itâs a distraction from the topic at hand, which is her museum. So letâs stick to the reportâs criticisms of how NMAH presents the materials on display in what the museum world, annoyingly, calls âdidactics,â meaning those posters and cards that explain what youâre looking at. My method here is to search the document for the word âdidactic.â There are 160 of these, so obviously I canât field all these, either. But to give you some flavor, here are the first four.âA didactic in NMAHâs American Democracy exhibit entitled âAbraham Lincoln in the Classroomâ ⌠provides no information about the accomplishments of the two great American heroes it citesâLincoln and Washingtonânoting only that both were presidents and that Americans have used images of them in an attempt to âinstill patriotic values and reinforce the idea of a shared national heritage.ââI did not see this particular didactic when I visited the museum earlier this week. But it would appear its subject is not the life of Americaâs beloved Railsplitter but rather how Lincoln is, you know, taught in the classroom. If the Domestic Policy Council is trying to suggest that biographical information about Lincoln is hard to find at the NMAH, let me assure you it is not. For example, a permanent exhibit titled âThe Price of Freedom: Americans at Warâ contains a large section about the Civil War and, inevitably, much discussion of Abraham Lincoln. If anything, the didactics here tilt rightward. Hereâs one:Lincoln hoped that the nation could be reunited without rancor, but he found himself at odds with Republicans in Congress. They wanted to punish the South for seceding and wanted Southern states to guarantee the freedom and rights of African Americans.Lincolnâs assassination, and the ineffectual leadership of his successor, Andrew Johnson, enabled the Congress to control Reconstruction. They divided the South into military districts, withholding statehood from some former Confederate states until 1870s.This approximates the pro-South narrative still taught when I attended high school in the 1970s, all about Northern carpetbaggers, Northern scalawags, wild-eyed Radical Republicans, and ex-slaves unready for citizenship rights in dear old Dixie. I know that the Domestic Policy Council is aware of the Reconstruction revisionist Eric Foner, who called bullshit on all this in 1988, because heâs quoted favorably elsewhere in the report. (Itâs probably heard, too, of W.E.B. Du Bois, who made a similar case in his 1935 text Black Reconstruction.) But peddling a Gone With the Wind story about Reconstructionâs tragic overreach is never going to raise any hackles in the Trump White House.âOne didactic about the Broadway musical Hamilton in âEntertainment Nationâ simply called Alexander Hamilton an âinfluential and flawed founding fatherâ likely, in part, because he may have owned slaves.â Any child whoâs seen Hamilton knows that the manâs most conspicuous character flaw was not that he âmay have owned slavesâ (he also may not have; the historical record on this point is inconclusive, and I donât think the matter comes up in Hamilton at all). Rather, it is that Hamilton had an extramarital affair with Maria Reynolds that, when made public, destroyed his chance of becoming president. In the age of Trump, is it now âwokeâ to look askance at a politician who cheats on his wife?In the âMany Voices, One Nationâ exhibit, according to the report, a didactic presents ours as âa fundamentally oppressive nationâ in saying European settlement was âa profound unsettling of the American continentâ because its âpopulation actually declined ⌠as Old World diseases swept through Native populations that lacked immunity.â For starters, during the period described here our nation couldnât have been âoppressiveâ because it didnât yet exist. To say that European settlement spread disease âthrough Native populations that lacked immunity,â and that the North American population therefore declined, is merely true. To describe all this as âa profound unsettlingâ is offensive only to those who question the value of human life.In the same exhibit, the following sentence appears in a didactic: âIn creating the new nation, early leaders envisioned a country that promised opportunity and freedomâbut only for some.â This, the report states, is a âslander of America.âA slander by definition is untrue. Whereâs the untrue part in that sentence? Early leaders granted the vote only to white male property owners. Women were excluded. Blacks were excluded, and anyway most of them were slaves, and slavery is the precise opposite of freedom.As I stated Wednesday, even when judged by the standards of the form, the White Houseâs anti-woke polemic is a shoddy piece of workmanship not unlike the peeling blue sealant in the $15 million renovation of the Reflecting Pool. No honest conservative could argue otherwise. I wonder whether that matters. I hope it does.
Surviving With Little House on the Prairie and Lord of the Flies
This spring, Mac Barnett, the award-winning childrenâs author of such contemporary picture-book classics as Sam and Dave Dig a Hole, dug himself a hole. In Make Believe: On Telling Stories to Children, his new book-length work of literary criticism about childrenâs books, he makes a forceful argument for adults to take children seriously as readers. Their sense of taste, their sense of justice, their sense of imagination. Too many childrenâs books, he suggests, condescend to their readers. The best stories for kids, he argues, donât preach or preen or strive to impart pat moral lessons but âtell the truth about what it means to be a human in the world.â And, because of this possibility for great art in childrenâs literature, and because of its intimate importance to the young people who read it, it behooves us to take it seriously as a mode of literature. âIf you donât think childrenâs books are real books,â he writes, âon some level you donât think children are real people.Then, he steps in it. âI have a nagging fear,â he writes, âthat childrenâs literature suffers from a slightly higher crud percentage than literature as a whole.â For Barnett, this means that the preponderance of kidlit is clunkily didactic at best, thinly exploitative at worst. On its own, itâs probably hard to argue with this sentimentâthe sheer number of childrenâs books based on Paw Patrol episodes alone seems to prove the point. But Barnett goes on to facetiously offer a guesstimate that 94.7 percent are duds. Only 5.3 percent of childrenâs books, then, would be worthy of the children reading them.The backlash was immediate, especially among authors of color who felt that the books Barnett dismissively described as âdidacticâ might likely include many titles meant to reach out to children historically underrepresented in childrenâs literature. Barnett immediately apologized, but the damage was done. A petition circulated, and a movement began to have his position as the Library of Congress national ambassador for young peopleâs literature revoked. Barnettâs âcrudâ remarks, many felt, stood to cause real harm in an industry that is still struggling to diversify and that is threatened constantly by state-sponsored book bans. As the writer and publisher Meg Reid pointed out, though, Barnettâs (hyperbolic) assertion reads differently if you think about the sheer volume of childrenâs literature published every year. If we take Barnettâs unserious analytic seriously, then his claim means that many thousands of childrenâs books of the vast number published annually are not crud. Pretty good!Childrenâs television, Iâd argue, is in a similar state. In this streaming environment, there is more space for childrenâs TV series than ever before. Lots of it is CGI sludge, of course, and nursery school nonsense and cynically concocted consumer training, but, amid all that âcrud,â thereâs a lot to be grateful for. If I were to make a long list of the best TV series of the past decade or so, a decent number of those series would certainly be childrenâs TV shows: Netflixâs City of Ghosts, Hilda, and The Baby-Sitters Club; Cartoon Networkâs Steven Universe; Disney+âs Gravity Falls and The Owl House; and, of course, Bluey, the formally perfect Australian animated series that would be pretty hard to keep out of the top 10. Kids donât automatically reject series that challenge them. They can feel when theyâre being taken seriously, and they like it.Itâs into this environment of crud and classics that Netflix has now released two series adaptations of beloved novels: Little House on the Prairie and Lord of the Flies. One is a show for kids, the other a show about kids. But both tell the truthâor at least part of itâabout what it means to be a person in an often inhospitable world.You may have heard that the new Little House on the Prairie series is âwoke.â When the new adaptation of Laura Ingalls Wilderâs novel series was announced early last year, former Fox News pundit Megyn Kelly immediately tweeted at Netflix, âif you wokeify Little House on the Prairie I will make it my singular mission to absolutely ruin your project.â Melissa Gilbert, star of the original 1974 series, responded by saying, âUmmmâŚwatch the original again. TV doesnât get too much more âwokeâ than we did. We tackled: racism, addiction, nativism, antisemitism, misogyny, rape, spousal abuse and every other âwokeâ topic you can think of. Thank you very much.â And this was all before the new show even had a cast list.The actual series, which has already been green-lit for a follow-up season, is neither the nostalgic tradlife fantasy Kelly hoped for nor the Resistance Lib fever dream she feared. Still, itâs easy to imagine that she might take umbrage with the new showâs primary departure from the beloved series of her childhood. That show, also called Little House on the Prairie, was not strictly an adaptation of the novel of the same name. Indeed, the â70s series, set in Minnesota in the 1870s, takes place after the events of Wilderâs Little House on the Prairie novel. In other words, the Little House on the Prairie that Kelly romanticizes isnât really Little House on the Prairie at all.This new show is. That slightly nudged timeline makes Netflixâs Little House not only different, but dirtier, too. It begins, as the novel does, with the Ingalls family departing the big woods of Wisconsin and traversing the mighty West in a covered wagon, heading for a new home, and free land, on the Kansas prairie. Thereâs handsome, hopeful Pa (Luke Bracey), worried and wary Ma (Crosby Fitzgerald), angsty older sister Mary (Skywalker Hughes), and, of course, rascally, openhearted Laura (Alice Halsey). A tight-knit unit, they brave the elements and the isolation of frontier life together.Upon arriving in the town of Independence, Kansas, however, Pa realizes that heâs brought his family there on a false promise. The âfreeâ land advertised by the crumpled poster he carries in his pocket actually belongs to the Osage. Building a home, as he does, on that prairie, makes him a squatter and a speculator. The Ingalls familyâs future, then, rests entirely on the completion of an unlikely treaty between the Osage and the federal government that would sell the land to the United States and legitimize all of the settlersâ claims. Paâs sense of disappointment and guiltâand the sense that heâs betrayed his family by not telling themâhangs over everything.If the new show is âwokeâ at all, itâs in the way it holds on to the dark moral compromise at the foundation of the Ingalls familyâs adorable log home. Indeed, its primary innovation is in the degree to which it tests Lauraâs relentless cheer. Thereâs nothing uncomplicated about even the showâs happiest moments. The script teases a troubled backstory, suggesting that the Ingallses are less pioneers than exiles from Wisconsin after some unacknowledged family squabble; Pa has several encounters with the ghost of his dead younger brother; the odd fact that the family has come alone, without siblings, parents, or cousins to help settle the land, is pointed out ominously by several different experienced settlers. Even the construction of the âlittle houseâ itself seems cursed: Ma graphically injures her foot hauling logs, only then to have a falling-out with neighbor Mr. Edwards over his alcoholism. Laura is the same bright-eyed optimist Megyn Kelly remembers, but her optimism here can read as almost delusional in its insistence.This is, in some ways, a change that actually makes the show more faithful rather than less to the tone of Wilderâs stories. The biggest structural departure from the book is in the addition of an Osage family, whose trials we follow in parallel with the Ingallses: Thereâs Mitchell (Meegwun Fairbrother), a mixed-race Osage man; White Sun (Alyssa Wapanatâhk), who is as distrustful of the white settlers as they are of her; and their daughter, Good Eagle (Wren Zhawenim Gotts), who is basically an Osage Laura Ingalls. They donât get the same screen time as their white counterparts, but the struggle of a mixed-race Osage family caught between a desire to make peace with newly arriving white settlers and make amends to their furious, soon-to-be-displaced people is a crucial element of the new show.Wilderâs books feature famously vicious depictions of Indigenous people, so there is certainly some corrective impulse in the showâs fleshed-out portrayal of a Native American family, especially as Laura and Good Eagle become besties. The show never has the full courage to make the ÂIngallses true antiheroesâMa, for instance, is only frightened by rather than prejudiced against their Osage neighborsâbut it gestures toward self-consciousness about the kind of erasure that allowed Wilderâs cottagecore mythology to grow in the first place. In the pilot, Laura finds a torn Indian doll on a riverbank. She takes it for her own and has Ma sew it back up with ribbon but gladly surrenders it when she realizes it belongs to Good Eagle. The Osage girl gets back what belongs to her, mended by her new white neighbor.Netflixâs Lord of the Flies is a nasty little hallucination of a showâI mean that as a compliment. The four-part miniseries, developed and written by Jack Thorne for the BBC, should be read as a spiritual sequel to Thorneâs acrobatic dirge Adolescenceâhis 2025 miniseries about a young boyâs seemingly inexplicable murder of a teenage girl and all the apps that drove him to it. This time, thereâs no social media to turn these little chaps into monsters, but they still manage the old-fashioned way.As in William Goldingâs novel, the new Lord of the Flies starts when a planeload of young British boys crashes on a tropical island. Left to their own devices, the boys fight between the impulse to reestablish some form of civilized society and the temptation to go absolutely wild, indulging in every taboo impulse their parents and schoolteachers forbade. On the side of order and democracy are Ralph (Winston Sawyers), a charming young man who has a way with the littler children, and Piggy (David McKenna), the smartest and least socially adept of the castaways; on the side of bacchanalia is Jack (Lox Pratt), a real little shit of a sociopath, who commands fierce devotion from the other boys who sang with him in the school choir.All the stuff that happens in Lord of the Flies, the novel, happens here, too, though often from a slightly different perspective or turned out in a slightly different way. This is a story about logistics and survival, and, ultimately, about what the way we choose to survive says about us. Ralph and Piggy struggle to get a beach full of kids to reproduce the civic ideals of modern Britain; they canât even get them to pee in the right place. Meanwhile, Jackâs and the choir boysâ efforts to assert their heroic masculinityâby hunting for boar and maintaining a dangerously large signal fireâproduce only disappointment and strife. And yet, the stunning complexity of these child actorsâ performances convinces us of the inevitability of their roles. McKenna imbues Piggy with an almost immediate frank command of this situation and its requirements, while Pratt seethes with the kind of theatrically compensatory overconfidence that both makes men legends and gets men killed.While not shot with the long-take extravagance of Adolescence, Lord of the Flies is similarly visually striking. Lots of fish-eye lenses help us to share in the topsy-turvy swirl of the boysâ new situation, and some pretty hardcore color-grading gives the gorgeous flora of the island the texture of Gothic horror. Outside of these cinematographic flourishes, Thorneâs major addition to the text is some degree of backstory for our main characters. Specifically, he goes out of his way to show that Jackâthe showâs main antagonistâand the spiritual Simon (Ike Talbut) both have difficult fathers back home. These boys arenât just allegorical baddies or toxic men-in-training; theyâre damaged little kids who act out in ways that ultimately make sense. Hurt people hurt people.As Rebecca Onion has pointed out, this change means that Thorneâs series makes it harder to read the boys as archetypes or as metaphors for this or that geopolitical crisis. They are individuals; their failure to be peaceable doesnât tell us anything about boys in general or society in general. All they need, perhaps, is love.I showed the pilot episode of the new Little House to my daughters, who are 10 and six years old. The show was too scary for the six-year-old, and too serious, I think, too. But it was catnip for the tween. Lots of shows she watches occupy this same realm of socially conscious melodrama. This Laura will immediately be the kind of heroine, navigating the thorny contradictions of her world, that appeals to girls in her age bracket. I will not, however, be showing my daughters Lord of the Flies. The extreme violence of these boys in crisis is not exactly pitched at my elder daughterâs age rangeâand, honestly, might too closely resemble some of the social dynamics she sees on the playground every day. Much like Adolescence, Lord of the Flies is mostly a horror series aimed at parents. All the same, both of these shows take seriously Barnettâs admonition that children are real peopleâpeople who can understand concepts like justice, complicity, and repair, and who can, left to their own devices, destroy a new world as easily as they can imagine one.â
Poll: Swing Voters Want Progressive Populism
A new report from Data for Progress spells good news for Democratsâparticularly those running on a message of economic populism. DFP surveyed 447 swing voters between May 15 and June 21 and found that they favor Democrats over Republicans on the generic congressional ballot by a 12-point margin, though the plurality of swing voters (46 percent) are unsure which party they prefer.What were the top issues that would move swing voters to vote for a Democrat? Raising taxes on the wealthy, instituting Medicare for All, and banning artificial intelligence from using personal data to set wages or prices. Economic issues like these have been embraced by progressive candidates, such as Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan, Randy Villegas in California, and Sam Forstag in Montana. Villegas and Forstag both won their House primaries against opponents who ran to the center, and El-Sayedâs Senate primary against an establishment centrist will be held on August 4.âI think the big takeaway from this report is that swing voters who could decide the midterms are not asking Democrats to sound more like Republicans,â said Ryan OâDonnell, DFPâs executive director.DFP ran a similar survey in 2024. At that time, swing voters tended to be younger and more racially diverse. Today, DFP found that there arenât significant demographic differences between swing voters and other likely voters. Despite the change in demographics, economic issues have consistently remained a top priority for swing voters. âEven though the electorateâs changed, the fact that their focus on economic populism has stayed so consistent is something to consider,â OâDonnell said.Other findings in the report support that notion. DFP asked respondents what issues they consider most when deciding which candidates to vote for. The top three issues were âeconomy, jobs, and the cost of living,â which 38 percent of respondents selected; âprograms like Social Security and Medicare,â which 17 percent selected; and âhealth care,â which came in at 6 percent. So-called culture-war issues ranked far lower: Only around 3 percent of respondents selected âLGBTQ+ issuesâ as their top priority, and around 1 percent selected ârace relations and racism.â Notably, âimmigrationâ was the third-highest issue in 2024 but has fallen to twelfth in this yearâs survey.Swing voters also shared what they find most concerning about the Democratic Party, and the results echo what many progressive members of the party have been saying for years: 32 percent of respondents said that âleadership is too old and out of touch,â and another 32 percent said that the party is ânot doing enough to lower costs.âSome economic populists have rejected the Democratic Party brand and are running instead as independents, like Senate candidate Dan Osborn in Nebraska. âHeâs doing a great job at pushing that message in Nebraska,â OâDonnell said. âSwing voters in general largely reject partisan and ideological labels, so it reflects that, as well.âOverall, the poll helps dispel the popular wisdom that running a conservative, centrist campaign is the best way to get the support of those in the middle. âIf I were a Democratic leader reading this, I would say that these results indicate that taking a more conservative stance is not the way to win over the voters you need to win,â he said.
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