New Republic ⢠2 weeks ago
The following is a lightly edited transcript of the February 27 episode of the Daily Blast podcast. Listen to it here.Greg Sargent: This is The Daily Blast from The New Republic, produced and presented by the DSR Network. Iâm your host, Greg Sargent.This week, The New York Times confirmed the latest revelations in the Jeffrey Epstein scandal, reporting on the missing files that appear to involve charges against Donald Trump himself. The Times is treating this as a blockbuster story and added some more nuance in a harsh turn in the saga for Trump. MAGA is all over the place on this. Fox News has mostly ignored the revelations, and one big MAGA influencer is hyping Hillary Clintonâs supposed role in the scandalâbut thatâs backfiring. Other MAGA types remain deeply split. This is really a crack-up moment for MAGA that raises questions about the movementâs future. And weâre talking about all this with writer Ana Marie Cox, who has written well for The New Republic about Epstein and right-wing elites. Ana, nice to have you on.Ana Marie Cox: Itâs good to be on.Sargent: So, the Times confirmed the big story of the week. Itâs that the Epstein filesâwhich are the documents related to federal investigations into Epsteinâs pedophilia and sex traffickingâare missing many pages that appear to involve charges by a woman who alleged Trump assaulted her as a teenager in the 1980s.The Times described the assault this woman alleges as a âviolent and lurid encounter,â adding: âMore than 50 pages of investigative materials related to her claims are not in the publicly available files.â Ana, thatâs rough stuff, and the Times treating this as a big story means the media hunt will really intensify now. What do you think of this?Cox: Unfortunately, we canât expect people in âMAGA-worldâ or Trump supporters to even consume The New York Times. They donât trust it. For some people in MAGA, that will mean itâs proof itâs not true.However, the Times is still the leader for all American media, for better or worse, one might say. For them to take thisâto take it that seriously, to put it on the front pageâand they have the goods. This was reported before, but the Times has gone very deep on it, and they have treated it with a seriousness that they usually reserve for Hillary Clinton emails and questions about âtrans panic.âSargent: Absolutely. They really went to town. When The New York Times wants to let you know that something is seriousâwhen thereâs something real hereâthey do that, and they did that here.Cox: Yeah. And I think what youâre going to see is a trickle-down effect to maybe less prominent media sources, but there will be podcasters discussing this. There will be people seeing bits of it on the evening news. There will be a filter. We already have seen the late-night comedians do it, but I think weâre going to see even more comedy, even more memes. And that is how public opinion shifts.Sargent: Yeah, as you pointed out, The Times put it on the front page. It was even âabove the fold.â And now Trumpâs media allies are in a real bind. According to this Media Matters analysis, Fox News has barely mentioned these latest revelations at all.Now, thatâs pretty funny because, at previous juncturesâas Media Matters also documentedâFox figures have spent a fair amount of time claiming that Trump has been âtotally exoneratedâ of everything Epstein-related. So, what do you make of that? How does Fox work its way around this one?Cox: I think the good news is that the MAGA and alternate media has shifted away from Fox as its absolute center. There are a lot of these âbro podcastsâ which we know move people.And bad news for the true believers is that this is a flashy story. This is a story about a sex trafficking ring. It has automatic interest in it. There is no way that Joe Rogan is not going to talk about this, that Theo Von is not going to talk about this. Any podcast that is consumed by some of these peopleâwho only have a tangential interest in politics, but they talk about the newsâtheyâre going to talk about the Epstein story.It is a fascinating example of a conspiracy theory that seems to have been proven correct. So this is what Iâm talking about in how the most damaging thing about this story for MAGA is not that it splits MAGAâalthough I know some good examples about the ways that it isâitâs that it chips away at it. It deepens a fault line that I already think existed ... among the people who voted for Trump.Sargent: Yeah, itâs an important insight that you bring up, that Fox News really is much more of a propaganda organ for Donald Trump than maybe some of those âbro podcastersâ are.And hereâs where it gets pretty crazy as well. Now Hillary Clinton enters the story. Republicans on the House Oversight Committee have her testifying behind closed doors today, Thursday. Not exactly clear why. Republicans are apparently grilling her about Epsteinâs involvement in the Clinton Global Initiative, but at the time she was a senator and not even involved in the organization. Iâm unaware of any evidence that Hillary has even met Epstein.Ana, this is an amazing reach to haul Hillary in. Like, youâve been covering this stuff for some time. Hillary is still their go-to target? She lost to Trump ten years ago. Thatâs a decade. That was her last big moment in public life and, like, Letâs haul in Hillary? What?Cox: It makes no sense to me, and it also points to a generational problem in the GOP. Weâre very aware, you and I, about a generational problem among the Democrats. That thereâs all these people who are stuck in the past and arenât responsive to what the issues and needs are of their constituents because theyâre thinking too much themselves about the Clinton era. Theyâre stuck in the âthird wayâ way of thinking about politics.The thing isâand the good news isâthat the Republicans are trapped in the same place. Theyâre still obsessed with the Clintons. Theyâre still obsessed with Obama. The people who they really need to reach, and the people that they moved in 2024 to their side, barely remember that. This is talking about ghosts. This is talking about World War II. Itâs as distant to them as, letâs say, 9/11. They recognize, perhaps, that itâs something important that happened, but itâs not relevant to them. And they donât think of the Clintons or Obama as the kind of big bogeymen that the GOP still does. The GOP is still fundraising off of fucking Hillary Clinton.Sargent: Itâs amazing. I think youâre talking about this kind of âyoung manâ demographic that sort of haunts the Joe Rogan spaces and all that. These people were teenagers when Hillary lost to Trump.Cox: Thatâs right. They were teenagers when Bill Clinton was another butt of late-night jokes. They donât know really who he is besides some figure from the distant pop-culture past.And that speaks to an important way that Democrats and leftists could interject themselves into this conversation. I worry that weâre missing that opportunity because, on the left, there are people still obsessed with the Clintons and Obama, too.Sargent: Yeah, well, that is certainly true. I just want to point outâjust to make it even more ludicrousâwhen Bill Clinton was president in the second term from 1996 to 2000, a lot of these young people hadnât even been born yet. And any of them that were born were around five, six, three, four.Cox: This is as relevant to them as the Macarena.Sargent: Thereâs this weird twist here, too, with the Hillary thing. Hillary had wanted to testify publicly, but Republicans said no. And now MAGA podcaster Benny Johnson just posted a photo on social of her in the hearing, and MAGA Congresswoman Lauren Boebert elevated it. But that just served to undermine the case for keeping the hearing concealed in the first place.So for these MAGA figures, a picture of Hillary getting grilled is enough to excite them, I guess? How on earth is this going to actually work in distracting attention from these Trump revelationsâthese latest ones, which have so much force?Cox: I donât think it can. It really does speak to a kind of Streisand effect. As soon as you start trying to cover something up, people are going to get interested.And to me, one of the things that this tips its hand to is: Benny Johnson is getting his orders from someplace else besides his own interests and the people who are listening. This is something that I donât think someone who is truly savvy about the people who are coming upâand the people who really need to be excitedâis going to do. Someone said, You need to post this, and he did. And I donât see how it forwards their argument at all. The idea that this is secret and weâre going to keep it secret really belies everything theyâve ever tried to argue about the Epstein files.Sargent: Yeah, and whatâs funny is that Hillary Clinton just jumped on this. She said, If youâre going to post pictures of me, then let the reporters in to watch the hearing. Itâs just like theyâre in total chaos, it seems to meâMAGA is.Marie Cox: Theyâre in chaos and not seeing something I want people to really understand, which is that the fracture exists below the top level. This is a group of people who moved into the Republican column in the last election. There are myriad reasons, but a lot of it, I think, had to do with âupsetâ ... resistance to things continuing in the same direction, upset about a sense of disconnection, and an idea that there was some kind of unaccountability among the elites.What the Epstein story does is plug directly into that narrative, even outside the specific, horrific scandal that he represents. I think the number of Trump administration officials and Trumpworld people who are in these documents is proof that Trump is part of the problemâthat these elites have no accountability.I want to be very clear about something: That does not mean everyone there was a pedophile.... Participation and knowledge of who Epstein was matters, of course; but even if they didnât know and didnât participate, it is a black mark against them that they were even in this circle. It represents a level of power and unaccountability that I do think Americans are really mad about.Sargent: Well, I want to point out to your point there that MAGAâincluding the podcaster world and even the people around TrumpâMAGA itself is quite split. MAGA elites are split over this whole thing right now, precisely because of what youâre getting at: Itâs actually blowing up the myth that Trump and his people are somehow not part of the elite.MAGA personality Shawn Ryan, for instance, has directly and quite angrily accused the DOJ of covering up for pedophiles. Even Ben Shapiro pointed out that Steve Bannon is deeply implicated in the files. Several others have said that, too, because Bannon, it turns out, advised Epstein. So it really wrecks a major MAGA storyline for Steve Bannonâwho is the keeper of the MAGA flame, the originator of the âMAGA voodooâ in a way. For him to be advising Epstein really blows the whole idea of Trump and MAGA elites as being somehow different from these other elites. It really wrecks that story, donât you think?Cox: Yes, I agree. And I think it points to something that should be heartening for those of us pinning our hopes on the midterms, which is that the MAGA coalitionâwhile it is tough to crack in one way because it is a cult, parts of it, and resistant to logicâit was never actually that sturdy based on interests.Sargent: Meaning ...Cox: There are a lot of people who came into Trumpworld just because Trump seemed to be the winner and the kingmaker. As soon as he weakens, I believe people are going to peel offâand he has been weaker and weaker and weaker.To get down for a second: I do believe the only tool he really has left is violence and threats. But that is a brittle form of authority. And weâve seen in Minnesota, it is not something that can [last]. It is something that can be resisted and something that is incredibly unpopular and can crumble.Sargent: Just to support your point there, nobody is more aware of that aspect of Trumpâs mystique than Trump himself. He absolutely knows that winning is the thing that attracts people to him. And so you will note that when he losesâlike when he lost before the Supreme Courtâhe immediately tried to flip it around by saying something like, âWeâre going to investigate them.âNow, to some ears, thatâll sound like âjust Trump being crazy Trumpâ ... but thereâs a method there: He always has to have his enemies on the run. He can never be the person whoâs being delivered a loss; he metes the losses out to others. And so this Epstein stuff is real trouble as well. Thatâs why you see him going out and saying, âIâm totally exonerated, totally. Iâve got this. Iâm owning it.â The Trump mystique just deflates very rapidly when he loses.Cox: Yes. And he is losing more and more. All of these special elections weâre seeing, all of this resistance to data centers and ICE detention centersâthis is a multi-pronged attack. Epstein just represents one really important wing of this ... method.And it needs to be exploited in part becauseâand I wonât get tired of repeating itâit represents a lot of other stuff. Embedded in the Epstein filesâand this is the piece that I wrote most recentlyâare a lot of other ideas that are really corrosive. If you look at the people Epstein wanted to surround himself with, theyâre AI bros, crypto bros, âwellnessâ people, anti-vaxxers, and eugenicists.If we can use the âEpstein classâ to puncture Trumpâs powerâif we can make him seem a part of thatâit contributes to this overall disintegration of his popularity. His popularity is all he has. Itâs weird, almost. He has to appear to keep winning and winning. As soon as he starts to lose, he will lose people more and more. I believe there are going to be Republicans in Congress who try to save their own skinâand thank God they do. Sargent: Yeah, I absolutely agree. I want to bring in this really big-picture question. MAGA spent years screaming that there was a major cover-up going on with regard to Epstein back when they thought the Epstein files contained dastardly secrets about elite liberals and Democrats.And now, incredibly, we have amazingly damning revelations about exactly thatâa new dimension to the cover-up in which dozens of pages from the files are literally missing. And they involve a very, very powerful member of the elite: Donald Trump himself.And so I want to ask you about this going forward: How does MAGA manage this? Because this doesnât go away. If Democrats take the House this fall and theyâre in power in 2027, big-time subpoenas start flying on this stuff. They will try to get those missing files. By then, we may know of other revelations that are missing. The investigations suddenly take a big turn. Itâs no longer James Comer sitting in a dark room with Hillary Clinton and leaking photos of herâyou know what I mean? How does MAGA deal with this over time? This was big to them. What do they do with it?Cox: I genuinely believe theyâre falling apart. I donât know if they have a way to deal with it. The interesting thing about cultsâare you aware that this whole âWhen Prophecy Failsâ study that people have recited for years about how a failure of prophecy really unites cultists, that thatâs turned out to be disproven and falsifiable?Weâre not necessarily going to see people strengthening their beliefs in order to be able to continue to believe a thing thatâs been disproven or hasnât happened. I think that most people are not MAGA cultists. Most people who vote for Donald Trump are not MAGA cultists. And when they see the shit thatâs going to come outâthat you and I know is going to come outâthey are going to be, not even disillusioned, theyâre going to be disgusted.I donât know if all of those votes are up for grabs for Democrats, but it means that the solidity is no longer there. I think that there is a possibility that thereâs going to be other folks that come in and try to sweep up those votes to the right. But whoâs that going to be? It canât be JD Vance. I donât know who on the right has the ability to come in and try to capitalize on the people who are disappointed with Trump, but still donât want to vote for people on the more Democratic side of things. They might be just lost; they might just go back to not participating, which is something thatâa lot of Trump voters used to just be outside of the political sphere.Sargent: Totally. Just to wrap this up: You could sort of see a twofold effect. One is more stuff about Trump related to Epstein, or more covering up, or some combination of that. Then on the other, the fact that Trump is leaving public life and itâs JD Vance. Those two things actually make the prospects for a major MAGA crackup much, much more likely.Vance canât reallyâhe doesnât have the charisma to keep it all together. Some of these MAGA figures are going to be staking their own claims and saying, âOK, Iâm going to say that I was one of the first to warn you about Trump way back when, and Epstein,â and this will be ways for them to build their followings in the post-Trump era. I think it falls apart potentially at that point. Where do you see it going?Cox: I agree, and the only bad news is pretty bad news, which is that it is likely to get worse before it gets better. There are going to be desperate grabs for power. There are going to be attempts at violent repression. Iâm sure you saw the news today about an attempt to perhaps declare an emergency over voting.But overall, we can look on the far horizon and itâs good news, because that stuff is extremely unpopular. It will only hasten the peeling away of people and the growth of the movement on the left. And what I want to say to people is: The way to get through the tough stuff is to do the activism that you can now; to band together as you can now. I think Minnesota proved that it can be resisted and you can grow community in the face of it.And so thatâs how we might get through the toughest times that are still ahead of usâjust to know that there are ways through it, that it doesnât have to be. We arenât going to be beaten by it. You can resist until itâs over.Sargent: I think thatâs exactly right, and I think thatâs whatâs going to happen. Ana Marie Cox, really good to talk to you. Folks, if you want to check out Anaâs work, you can check it out up at tnr.com. She writes for us regularly. Ana, really nice to talk to you. Thanks so much for coming on.Cox: Really good to catch up. Thank you, Greg.